On the other hand,上海会所he past, the Fed now has t

to take the delayed effect of balance sheet reduction conducted earlier into its consideration of rate cuts. The current phase-out of balanc

上海会所e sheet reduction already has some easing effect, and only after the balance sheet reduction ends in September, can its impact become clearer.

By incorporating that impact into consideration, the Fed can draw up a better rate cut plan that maximizes effects of the policy mix.上海会所

Thirdly, the market may have overestimated how much the Fed will cut the rates. There may be no more than three rate cuts by the end of 2020.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard – the major advocate of this

round of rate cut – has suggested the use of the modern-day Taylor rule, which fairly well explains th上海会所

e Fed’s interest rate decisions. Even based on this model adopted by dovish Fed officials, we found that the degree of rate cuts may be weaker than m

上海会所arket expectation for quite some time going forward: at most one cut by the end of this year and likely two or three cuts by the end of 2020.

By contrast, before the June FOMC meeting, the market expected a higher-than-85-percent chance of more than one rate cut by the

end of this year as well as an about 60-percent chance of more than three cuts by the end of 2020, according to Bloomberg data.上海会所品茶微信

In conclusion, we think as economic downside pressure gradually emerges, the Fed will have to kick off the rate cut cycle. But the rate cut si上海会所品茶微信

gnal, timing and degree may not measure up to the market expectation. Therefore, two future developments appear possible:

First, investor sentiment can reverse drastically if the Fed’s action fails to meet market expec上海会所品茶微信

tation. Considering the market has fully priced in the unrealistic expectation of rate cuts sinc

e early June, any reversal of expectation can lead to short-term fluctuations of key price signals such as the US Treasury yield cu

rve, the US Dollar Index, and the gold price, which may pose extensive spillover shocks to asset portfolios.

Second, the long-term trend of rate cuts will continue even if the market expectation reverses. In the long

run, the Fed is expected to proceed with rate cuts in a fairly slow and smooth way. This will enlarge the monetary policy room of ot

her major economies and expedite the shift toward an easing global monetary environment, which may in turn lift the sen

timent of global stock markets and ease any currency risk of emerging markets gradually.

Cheng Shi is the managing director, head of research and chief economist of ICBC Interna

tional Holdings Ltd.Qian Zhijun is a senior economist of ICBC International Holdings Ltd.

chitudoudemao.cn

Earlier, the Kenyan gove上海会所品茶微信d revealed that th

medical personnel 上海会所品茶微信who were sent to Sierra Leone and Liberia in 2015 will man points of entry to detect Ebola

cases. The team that returned in June last year was part of the African Union mission in Ebola in West Africa.

Contingency plans

Contingency plans had long been put in place in Uganda for possible imported Ebola cases, according to WHO. The gov

ernment has vaccinated about 4,700 health workers in 165 health facilities, including the one where the dead boy was treated.

“This is a sobering development that everyone has been working to avoi

d and highlights the complexity of the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the

Congo,” Robert Redfield, director of the country’s Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said in a statement.

Redfield had issued a warning, a week ago, that the outbreak in the DR Congo could spread outside the country. He ad

ded that there was a risk of the current supply of vaccines running out before more is produced.

funhorsy.com

eijing to keep investigating C上海会所品茶微信boat collisio

Beijing said on Mo上海会所品茶微信nday it will continue to investigate thoro

ughly and carefully the collision of Chinese and Filipino boats in the

South China Sea, and handle the incident properly with Ma

nila based on facts and in a cooperative and friendly manner.

A Chinese fishing boat and a Filipino fishing boat collided accident

ally in the waters near Liyuetan in the South China Sea

early Monday morning, Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang said.

Extending China’s condolences to the Filipino fishermen who expe

rienced the collision, Lu emphasized the collision wa

s an accident, and said China and the Philippines have communicated several times over the incident.

shlfbe.com

tries virtual reality technology in a smart classroom prim

Use of new tec上海会所品茶微信hnologies in online education is breaking boundaries for the nation’s students

Yang Ming, a 33-year-old immobile and partially sighted man from

Chengde, Hebei province, never imagined he could become his family’s “financial adviser”.

However, in late April, he noticed trouble brewing in the financial stat

ements of a company whose stock was owned by his relatives, so he advised selling the shares.

Although they were reluctant at first, his relatives sol上海会所品茶微信d the s

hares at a slight loss, but kept most of their 4,000 yuan ($578) investment intact.

A short time later, the company’s stock went into free fall when the Shanghai Stock Exchange plunged as a result of risi

ng uncertainty over trade negotiations between China and the United States.

guapogang.cn

While many people doubt whether Mo could top the s

success of winning the Nobel Prize in Literature in 2012, Zhang Qinghua, professor at Beijing Normal University, believes that Mo’s way of dealing with this h

as been to make a return to his hometown, a village in Gaomi, Shandong province, both in reality and spiritually.

Mo didn’t publish any new work in the five years following the award, when in 2017 he

released several short stories, poems and theater works, mainly reminiscing about his hometown.

Unlike Mo’s former novels, Peking University professor Chen Xiaoming notes th

at his new works are more reserved, realistic stylistically and employ more simple language. Literary cri

tic Li Jingze is impressed that Mo has remained acutely sensitive to the realities of urban and rural life.

www.qianpadbe.com

I must stress that Taiwan is an inseparable part of Chin

na, and the one-China principle is the foundation of China-US relations and an international consensus,” Shao said.

“The US side has conducted a series of negative rhetoric and actions regarding the Taiwan questi

on, violated the one-China principle and the three China-US joint communiques,” he said.

“This has undermined China’s sovereignty and security, sent a seriously wrong message to

Taiwan secessionists, and disrupted regional peace and stability,” Shao said, adding that China must, and will be, reunified.

“If anyone tries to separate Taiwan from the mainlan

d, the Chinese military will adamantly protect its territorial integrity at all costs,” he said.

As for the South China Sea, Shanahan accused China of undermini

ng freedom of navigation and overflight in the region, and militarizing the local islands.

qe78w.cn

After being sworn in for the second time as India’s prim

me minister on Thursday, Modi is likely to have his first “structured” talks with President Xi Jin

ping on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek, capital of Kyrgyzstan, in June.

China has been viewed in India as far more positively inclined to engage with Modi during

his second term in office. Even before the full results of the recent elections were declared, the Chinese media

welcomed Modi’s return to office. In the midst of India’s exhausting six-week-long elections, Beijing’s diplomatic an

d strategic moves helped Modi assert his anti-terrorism policy and reinforced memories of the informal summit in Wu

han, Hubei province, in April last year, which showcased the personal chemistry of the two Asian leaders.

uoxkw.cn

Stage collapse kills child in Fujian provincetists may have f

An accident Saturday night where a

theater stage collapsed has killed one child and injure

d 14 people, said the local emergency management office in Zhangzhou, Fujian province on Sunday.

The Jinshuixian theater in Zhangzhou Development Zone hosted a children’s dance audition the night of May 25.

During the audition, part of the theater’s center stage collapsed, killin

g a 13-year-old participant. Injured participants are receiving treatment in hospitals.

Companies and organizers involved in the accident are in police custody.

www.shlfec.com

hina Eastern asks Boeing for 737 MAX compensation

hina Eastern Airlines confirmed to news outlet The Paper on Tuesday it has

officially lodged claims with Boeing for losses cause

d by the 737 MAX’s grounding and late delivery, adding the two companies will stay in communication over the issue.

The move makes China Eastern Airlines the first airline in China to ask Boeing for compensation, as the 737 M

AX suffered worldwide suspensions after two deadly crashes which took more than 300 lives in six months.

Fourteen Boeing 737 MAX jets under China Eastern Airlines have been grounded since March 11.

Boeing stressed that it refused to talk about any communications with its clients.

Bloomberg cited people with knowledge of the matter last Wednesday, saying

www.gzche.org

the country will basically realize rural and agricultura

al modernization and ensure that both urban and rural residents enjoy equal public services.

By the middle of this century, digital villages will be completely built nationwide to advance rural revitalization.

To fulfill such targets, the country will accelerate the constructi

on of IT infrastructures in rural areas, upgrading rural internet facilities and information services.

More efforts will be made to boost the rural digital economy, with wider use of digital techno

logies in agriculture and the development of e-commerce and various emerging creative industries in rural regions.

While providing more support for rural technological innovation, the co

untry will strengthen ecological protection in rural areas with digital technologies.

www.cctif.cn